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New Analysis: What’s Next for Turkey?

Monday, May 15, 2017

Washington, D.C.– As Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan visits Washington this week after winning a controversial referendum that enhanced his already considerable power, the Bipartisan Policy Center issued a new report analyzing the impact of that new political reality on Turkey and U.S. policy.

What’s Next for Turkey: Authoritarian Stability or Chaos? looks at the likely fallout on the main political parties in Turkey and how that will impact Erdogan’s presidency, as well as the implications for the United States which has struggled to maintain a cooperative relationship with its NATO ally.

“Looking forward the question may become whether Turkey itself will remain as a point of stability in a chaotic region or whether political instability in Turkey will itself became a strategic concern for U.S. policy to address,” Blaise Misztal, director of national security at BPC, said. “Liberal democracy will take a long time to recover in Turkey.”

“For Washington, trying to mitigate the damage done to the Turkish political system will help prevent its destabilizing collapse and increase the possibility that Turkey can eventually re-emerge as a democratic partner,” Nicholas Danforth, senior policy analyst at BPC, said. “The key for U.S. policymakers is to remain critical of Erdogan’s intensified crackdown on opponents.”

Watch Blaise Misztal and Nick Danforth discuss the report and Erdogan’s visit on Facebook Live at 2:30 p.m. today.

KEYWORDS: BLAISE MISZTAL, NATO, NICHOLAS DANFORTH, TASK FORCE ON MANAGING DISORDER IN THE MIDDLE EAST, TAYYIP ERDOGAN, TURKEY