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The United States is Importing Increasingly Heavy Grades of Crude Oil

By David Rosner, Scott McKee

Tuesday, April 1, 2014

One key characteristic of crude oil is its density, which ranges from light to heavy. The density of crude oil–that is, how light or heavy it is compared to water–is often measured by calculating its API gravity, where higher numbers signify lighter crudes and “sweet” or “sour” designations denote the sulfur content of the crude. Lighter, sweeter crudes are generally more valuable from an economic perspective because they are less energy-intensive to refine into finished products.

Refinery operators have some flexibility in their ability to process various gravities of crude oil. U.S. refineries use a mix of both imported and domestically-produced crude oil. A refinery’s purchase decisions are typically based on obtaining the lowest cost “crude slate”1 given the relative price of different gravities of crude oil, the efficiency of the refinery at processing different types of crude oil and the relative prices of finished products.

Although the absolute quantity of U.S. crude oil imports peaked in 2005, the density of crude oil imports continues to trend to heavier gravity crudes. For example, heavy crude oil (API gravity less than 25) accounted for about 19 percent of total crude oil imports in 1990, but increased to 35 percent in 2005. By 2013, heavy crude oil accounted for over 50 percent of total crude oil imports.

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Many refineries in the United States–especially those in the Midwest and Gulf Coast regions–have additional conversion units that enable the processing of heavy crude oils.  This creates an economic incentive for these refinery operators to balance their use of these new sources of lighter, domestic crude oils with heavier foreign crude oils in order to most efficiently use their full refinery operations.

From 1990 to 2005, the average API gravity of crude oil used in U.S. refineries was decreasing, indicating that refineries were using heavier crude oils and mirroring the trend towards greater imports of heavier crudes.

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One only has to look to the fundamentals of the U.S. refinery sector to understand the drivers behind this shift.

First, there has been a long-running trend of investment in conversion units that enable the processing of heavy crude oils–particularly among refineries located in the U.S. Midwest and gulf coast regions. These investments in conversion units to process heavy crude were driven by the expectation in the 1980s and 1990s that the United States would be reliant on imports of crude oil, primarily from Saudi Arabia, which produces heavy crude oil. However, today heavy crude derived from Canadian oil sands has begun to displace imported heavy crude oil in U.S. Midwest refineries and could compete with imported Saudi crude in U.S. gulf coast refineries in the future.

A second driver for the shift in the composition of U.S. crude oil imports has been the resurgence of light crude oil production primarily from U.S. shale formations, which has grown by 2.3 million barrels per day since 2005 and has displaced competing imports of light crude oil causing them to decrease significantly in the last few years.

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Going forward, these trends are likely to accelerate as U.S. refineries continue to demand the heavy grades of crude oil–especially those from Canada–in which they have a comparative advantage to refine and as U.S. domestic production continues to displace imports of light crude oil.


1 A crude slate is the particular choice of crude oil used.

2014-04-01 00:00:00
As domestic production of light crude oil increases, imports compensate to maintain balance

 

KEYWORDS: CANADA, CRUDE OIL, GULF COAST, MIDWEST, SAUDI ARABIA