With Trump threatening more sanctions and Erdogan threatening to find other allies, Turkey may be forced to figure out what the alternatives are.
Today, Iraqi Kurds are going to the polls to decide whether to seek independence from Iraq.
Amid mounting instability and economic uncertainty, Erdoğan has preserved the support of his base and even secured a slight increase in support from both Kurds and Turkish nationalists.
Erdogan’s need to consolidate power means that American attempts to mollify his concerns will not create a foundation for a workable relationship.
When it comes to the Middle East, the transition from President Obama to President-elect Donald Trump may well exhibit just as much continuity as divergence.
While Operation Euphrates Shield is a welcome action, the United States should remain skeptical that Turkey’s strategic objectives align with its own.